Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.047694 0.056623 0.066656 0.078749 0.092917 0.108975 0.128541
2025-04-20 0.034342 0.045894 0.060371 0.079780 0.105053 0.136769 0.179513
2025-04-27 0.026494 0.038855 0.055722 0.080278 0.114949 0.161962 0.230323
2025-05-04 0.021339 0.033825 0.052116 0.080620 0.123632 0.185752 0.281810
2025-05-11 0.017881 0.030334 0.049734 0.081800 0.133027 0.211100 0.338299
2025-05-18 0.015622 0.028157 0.048784 0.084700 0.145032 0.241415 0.405758
2025-05-25 0.012863 0.024563 0.044844 0.081939 0.147266 0.256333 0.450369
2025-06-01 0.011086 0.022325 0.042757 0.081845 0.153702 0.278552 0.509327
2025-06-08 0.009501 0.020126 0.040339 0.080689 0.157928 0.297246 0.564152
2025-06-15 0.008563 0.019006 0.039716 0.082700 0.168071 0.327383 0.642649
2025-06-22 0.007452 0.017322 0.037713 0.081684 0.172221 0.346864 0.703523
2025-06-29 0.006407 0.015579 0.035302 0.079444 0.173564 0.361017 0.755625
2025-07-06 0.005447 0.013870 0.032733 0.076571 0.173398 0.372553 0.804752
2025-07-13 0.004943 0.013135 0.032181 0.078005 0.182541 0.403964 0.897991
2025-07-20 0.004447 0.012320 0.031313 0.078582 0.189868 0.432415 0.988313
2025-07-27 0.004000 0.011546 0.030413 0.078936 0.196706 0.460550 1.081088
2025-08-03 0.003653 0.010965 0.029886 0.080096 0.205543 0.494022 1.189299
2025-08-10 0.003426 0.010671 0.030030 0.082940 0.218760 0.538797 1.327896
2025-08-17 0.002976 0.009651 0.028122 0.080233 0.217970 0.551136 1.392921
2025-08-24 0.002690 0.009057 0.027257 0.080142 0.223751 0.579616 1.499203
2025-08-31 0.002400 0.008389 0.026077 0.079009 0.226666 0.601449 1.591749
2025-09-07 0.002246 0.008126 0.026010 0.080980 0.238095 0.645608 1.744216
2025-09-14 0.002016 0.007562 0.024967 0.079984 0.241294 0.669261 1.847420